Demographic Projections with DYNAMOD-2

Annie Abello, Simon Kelly, Anthony King

    Research output: Book/ReportAnthology

    Abstract

    DYNAMOD-2 is a dynamic microsimulation model of the Australian
    population that is designed to project characteristics of the population
    over a period of up to 50 years. The model operates with a 1 per cent
    sample of the Australian population — about 150 000 records in the
    starting population — and generates lifetime profiles of people in terms
    of demographic events (fertility, mortality, couple formation and
    dissolution, and overseas migration), education participation and
    attainment, labour force activity and earnings.
    This paper is part of a series of technical papers documenting the
    structure of DYNAMOD-2. The paper covers two areas. First, it describes
    the modelling of demographic aspects of the dynamic model including
    the alignment of births. Second, it provides a brief summary of two
    DYNAMOD-2 features that have not been covered in the other technical
    papers — the modelling of young people leaving home and stochastic
    variation in the simulation output.
    Original languageEnglish
    Place of PublicationCanberra
    PublisherUniversity of Canberra
    Number of pages58
    ISBN (Print)1740880986
    Publication statusPublished - 2002

    Publication series

    NameNATSEM Technical Papers
    PublisherUniversity of Canberra
    No.21
    ISSN (Print)1443-5098

    Fingerprint

    projection
    labor force participation
    overseas
    fertility
    mortality
    migration
    simulation
    event
    education

    Cite this

    Abello, A., Kelly, S., & King, A. (2002). Demographic Projections with DYNAMOD-2. (NATSEM Technical Papers; No. 21). Canberra: University of Canberra.
    Abello, Annie ; Kelly, Simon ; King, Anthony . / Demographic Projections with DYNAMOD-2. Canberra : University of Canberra, 2002. 58 p. (NATSEM Technical Papers; 21).
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    author = "Annie Abello and Simon Kelly and Anthony King",
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    isbn = "1740880986",
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    Abello, A, Kelly, S & King, A 2002, Demographic Projections with DYNAMOD-2. NATSEM Technical Papers, no. 21, University of Canberra, Canberra.

    Demographic Projections with DYNAMOD-2. / Abello, Annie; Kelly, Simon; King, Anthony .

    Canberra : University of Canberra, 2002. 58 p. (NATSEM Technical Papers; No. 21).

    Research output: Book/ReportAnthology

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    T1 - Demographic Projections with DYNAMOD-2

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    AU - Kelly, Simon

    AU - King, Anthony

    PY - 2002

    Y1 - 2002

    N2 - DYNAMOD-2 is a dynamic microsimulation model of the Australianpopulation that is designed to project characteristics of the populationover a period of up to 50 years. The model operates with a 1 per centsample of the Australian population — about 150 000 records in thestarting population — and generates lifetime profiles of people in termsof demographic events (fertility, mortality, couple formation anddissolution, and overseas migration), education participation andattainment, labour force activity and earnings.This paper is part of a series of technical papers documenting thestructure of DYNAMOD-2. The paper covers two areas. First, it describesthe modelling of demographic aspects of the dynamic model includingthe alignment of births. Second, it provides a brief summary of twoDYNAMOD-2 features that have not been covered in the other technicalpapers — the modelling of young people leaving home and stochasticvariation in the simulation output.

    AB - DYNAMOD-2 is a dynamic microsimulation model of the Australianpopulation that is designed to project characteristics of the populationover a period of up to 50 years. The model operates with a 1 per centsample of the Australian population — about 150 000 records in thestarting population — and generates lifetime profiles of people in termsof demographic events (fertility, mortality, couple formation anddissolution, and overseas migration), education participation andattainment, labour force activity and earnings.This paper is part of a series of technical papers documenting thestructure of DYNAMOD-2. The paper covers two areas. First, it describesthe modelling of demographic aspects of the dynamic model includingthe alignment of births. Second, it provides a brief summary of twoDYNAMOD-2 features that have not been covered in the other technicalpapers — the modelling of young people leaving home and stochasticvariation in the simulation output.

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    Abello A, Kelly S, King A. Demographic Projections with DYNAMOD-2. Canberra: University of Canberra, 2002. 58 p. (NATSEM Technical Papers; 21).