TY - GEN
T1 - Health impact assessment for mortality associated with high temperatures in Cyprus
AU - Haritini, Tsangari
AU - Clare, Heaviside
AU - Sotiris, Vardoulakis
AU - Anastasia, K. Paschalidou
AU - Kyriakos, E. Georgiou
AU - Pavlos, Kassomenos
AU - Edna, N. Yamasaki
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2016 IEEE.
PY - 2016/6/20
Y1 - 2016/6/20
N2 - Climate change is associated with extreme temperatures that can have severe effects on public health, in the form of heat-related mortality. In the present paper we perform a health impact assessment for mortality associated with extreme weather in Cyprus, during the months of April-September for the 6-year period between 2004-2009. Additionally, we estimate the potential health effects of higher summer temperatures, in line with climate change projections. The health impact assessment indicates a significant number of heat-related deaths, as well as a rapid increase in mortality for given temperature rise. Specifically, for an increase of 1°C over the baseline temperatures, heat-related mortality doubles, while for a 5 °C increase, mortality is almost 800% the baseline. It is estimated that these results can provide the necessary basis for linking accurate forecasts of extreme events with effective public health measures and interventions.
AB - Climate change is associated with extreme temperatures that can have severe effects on public health, in the form of heat-related mortality. In the present paper we perform a health impact assessment for mortality associated with extreme weather in Cyprus, during the months of April-September for the 6-year period between 2004-2009. Additionally, we estimate the potential health effects of higher summer temperatures, in line with climate change projections. The health impact assessment indicates a significant number of heat-related deaths, as well as a rapid increase in mortality for given temperature rise. Specifically, for an increase of 1°C over the baseline temperatures, heat-related mortality doubles, while for a 5 °C increase, mortality is almost 800% the baseline. It is estimated that these results can provide the necessary basis for linking accurate forecasts of extreme events with effective public health measures and interventions.
KW - Cyprus
KW - Distributed Lag Non-linear Model
KW - Generalized Linear Model
KW - health impact
KW - mortality
KW - temperature threshold
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84979210015&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/conhome/7489933/proceeding
U2 - 10.1109/MELCON.2016.7495465
DO - 10.1109/MELCON.2016.7495465
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84979210015
T3 - Proceedings of the 18th Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference: Intelligent and Efficient Technologies and Services for the Citizen, MELECON 2016
SP - 1
EP - 4
BT - Proceedings of the 18th Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference
A2 - Mavromoustakis, Constandinos
A2 - Louca, Soulla
A2 - Pattichis, Constantinos S.
A2 - Georgiou, Julius
A2 - Michael, Despina
A2 - Paschalidou, A.
A2 - Kyriacou, Efthyvoulos
A2 - Vassiliou, Vasos
A2 - Panayiotou, Christos
A2 - Kyriakides, Elias
A2 - Ellinas, Georgios
A2 - Hadjichristofi, George
A2 - Loizou, C.
PB - IEEE, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
T2 - 18th Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference, MELECON 2016
Y2 - 18 April 2016 through 20 April 2016
ER -
