Housing Price Dynamics on Residential Construction: A Case Study of the Australian Property Sector

Le Ma, Henry Liu, David J. Edwards, Michael C.P. Sing

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Residential construction price is a critical indicator to optimise key-market stakeholders’ decision-making for property development. As an up-stream market, housing market can bring significant effects on the residential construction sector. However, the relationship between housing and construction markets has been overlooked. This study therefore examines house price dynamics on residential construction by addressing a research question: How do construction prices respond to the changes of house prices? A panel error correction model is developed to estimate the long-run equilibrium and short-run dynamic patterns between the two markets. Significant market relationships are identified, e.g., long-run equilibrium between housing and residential construction prices in Australia’s Capital Territory and states South Australia, Tasmania and Victoria. Conversely, short-run dynamic patterns are derived in New South Wales, Queensland, Victoria and South Australia. This research provides the key stakeholders with an insight into market interaction and a reliable prediction tool for decision making of real-estate planning/development.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)525-532
Number of pages8
JournalStructural Change and Economic Dynamics
Volume59
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2021

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