Pandemic and promise: progress towards finding an effective treatment for Novel Coronavirus 19

Lea Merone, Summer Finlay

Research output: Contribution to journalEditorialpeer-review

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Abstract

Objectives
This paper explores how changes in demography, service use and the aged care system have implications for the appropriateness of the denominator in the aged care provision ratio.

Methods
Official statistics were analysed to create five alternative scenarios for residential care planning in a 2000‐2027 time series.

Results
The four age‐based denominators and a revised denominator incorporating age‐ and sex‐specific disability rates generated diverse levels of absolute supply. The 75+ denominator produced 1400 fewer beds than the 70+ denominator by 2018, but over 14 000 additional beds by 2027.

Conclusion
The 70+ based ratio developed almost forty years ago has served its purpose reasonably well. However, changes in the nature of the aged care system, different patterns of use by age and sex, and demographic changes suggest that long‐term aged care planning requires careful review in choosing a more robust version of the provision ratio for the future.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)437-439
Number of pages3
JournalAustralian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health
Volume44
Issue number6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2020

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