Predicting water quality responses to a changing climate: Building an integrated modelling framework

Fiona Dyer, S El Sawah, Evan Harrison, S Broad, Barry Croke, Richard Norris, Anthony Jakeman

    Research output: A Conference proceeding or a Chapter in BookConference contribution

    3 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    The future management of freshwater resources for human and environmental needs requires an integrated set of tools for predicting the relationship between climate change, water quality and ecological responses. In this paper, we present the early phases of a project for building a Bayesian network (BN) based framework to link ecological and water quality responses to features of the flow regime in the Molonglo and Yass rivers in southeastern Australia. At this stage, the objective is to conceptualize the modelling components and define causal links. Expert elicitation was used to identify important drivers and interactions which influence water quality attributes and related ecological responses.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationSymposium H04: Assessment of water quality under changing climate conditions
    EditorsNorman E Peters, Valentina Krysanova, Ahti Lepiste, Rajendra Prasad, Martin Thoms, Rob Wilby, Sarantuyaa Zandaryaa
    Place of PublicationMelbourne
    PublisherIAHS Publishing
    Pages178-184
    Number of pages7
    Volume348
    ISBN (Print)9781907161230
    Publication statusPublished - 2011
    Event2011 International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) General Assembly - Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
    Duration: 28 Jun 20117 Jul 2011

    Conference

    Conference2011 International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) General Assembly
    CountryAustralia
    CityMelbourne
    Period28/06/117/07/11

    Fingerprint

    water quality
    climate
    modeling
    climate change
    river
    attribute
    need
    freshwater resource
    project

    Cite this

    Dyer, F., El Sawah, S., Harrison, E., Broad, S., Croke, B., Norris, R., & Jakeman, A. (2011). Predicting water quality responses to a changing climate: Building an integrated modelling framework. In N. E. Peters, V. Krysanova, A. Lepiste, R. Prasad, M. Thoms, R. Wilby, & S. Zandaryaa (Eds.), Symposium H04: Assessment of water quality under changing climate conditions (Vol. 348, pp. 178-184). Melbourne: IAHS Publishing.
    Dyer, Fiona ; El Sawah, S ; Harrison, Evan ; Broad, S ; Croke, Barry ; Norris, Richard ; Jakeman, Anthony. / Predicting water quality responses to a changing climate: Building an integrated modelling framework. Symposium H04: Assessment of water quality under changing climate conditions. editor / Norman E Peters ; Valentina Krysanova ; Ahti Lepiste ; Rajendra Prasad ; Martin Thoms ; Rob Wilby ; Sarantuyaa Zandaryaa. Vol. 348 Melbourne : IAHS Publishing, 2011. pp. 178-184
    @inproceedings{650c91b2abfa411e88e6a7723455ea59,
    title = "Predicting water quality responses to a changing climate: Building an integrated modelling framework",
    abstract = "The future management of freshwater resources for human and environmental needs requires an integrated set of tools for predicting the relationship between climate change, water quality and ecological responses. In this paper, we present the early phases of a project for building a Bayesian network (BN) based framework to link ecological and water quality responses to features of the flow regime in the Molonglo and Yass rivers in southeastern Australia. At this stage, the objective is to conceptualize the modelling components and define causal links. Expert elicitation was used to identify important drivers and interactions which influence water quality attributes and related ecological responses.",
    keywords = "Bayesian network models, water quality, prediction, climate change, integrated modelling",
    author = "Fiona Dyer and {El Sawah}, S and Evan Harrison and S Broad and Barry Croke and Richard Norris and Anthony Jakeman",
    year = "2011",
    language = "English",
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    volume = "348",
    pages = "178--184",
    editor = "Peters, {Norman E} and Valentina Krysanova and Ahti Lepiste and Rajendra Prasad and Martin Thoms and Rob Wilby and Sarantuyaa Zandaryaa",
    booktitle = "Symposium H04: Assessment of water quality under changing climate conditions",
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    Dyer, F, El Sawah, S, Harrison, E, Broad, S, Croke, B, Norris, R & Jakeman, A 2011, Predicting water quality responses to a changing climate: Building an integrated modelling framework. in NE Peters, V Krysanova, A Lepiste, R Prasad, M Thoms, R Wilby & S Zandaryaa (eds), Symposium H04: Assessment of water quality under changing climate conditions. vol. 348, IAHS Publishing, Melbourne, pp. 178-184, 2011 International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) General Assembly, Melbourne, Australia, 28/06/11.

    Predicting water quality responses to a changing climate: Building an integrated modelling framework. / Dyer, Fiona; El Sawah, S; Harrison, Evan; Broad, S; Croke, Barry; Norris, Richard; Jakeman, Anthony.

    Symposium H04: Assessment of water quality under changing climate conditions. ed. / Norman E Peters; Valentina Krysanova; Ahti Lepiste; Rajendra Prasad; Martin Thoms; Rob Wilby; Sarantuyaa Zandaryaa. Vol. 348 Melbourne : IAHS Publishing, 2011. p. 178-184.

    Research output: A Conference proceeding or a Chapter in BookConference contribution

    TY - GEN

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    AU - Dyer, Fiona

    AU - El Sawah, S

    AU - Harrison, Evan

    AU - Broad, S

    AU - Croke, Barry

    AU - Norris, Richard

    AU - Jakeman, Anthony

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    AB - The future management of freshwater resources for human and environmental needs requires an integrated set of tools for predicting the relationship between climate change, water quality and ecological responses. In this paper, we present the early phases of a project for building a Bayesian network (BN) based framework to link ecological and water quality responses to features of the flow regime in the Molonglo and Yass rivers in southeastern Australia. At this stage, the objective is to conceptualize the modelling components and define causal links. Expert elicitation was used to identify important drivers and interactions which influence water quality attributes and related ecological responses.

    KW - Bayesian network models

    KW - water quality

    KW - prediction

    KW - climate change

    KW - integrated modelling

    M3 - Conference contribution

    SN - 9781907161230

    VL - 348

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    EP - 184

    BT - Symposium H04: Assessment of water quality under changing climate conditions

    A2 - Peters, Norman E

    A2 - Krysanova, Valentina

    A2 - Lepiste, Ahti

    A2 - Prasad, Rajendra

    A2 - Thoms, Martin

    A2 - Wilby, Rob

    A2 - Zandaryaa, Sarantuyaa

    PB - IAHS Publishing

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    Dyer F, El Sawah S, Harrison E, Broad S, Croke B, Norris R et al. Predicting water quality responses to a changing climate: Building an integrated modelling framework. In Peters NE, Krysanova V, Lepiste A, Prasad R, Thoms M, Wilby R, Zandaryaa S, editors, Symposium H04: Assessment of water quality under changing climate conditions. Vol. 348. Melbourne: IAHS Publishing. 2011. p. 178-184