The future management of freshwater resources for human and environmental needs requires an integrated set of tools for predicting the relationship between climate change, water quality and ecological responses. In this paper, we present the early phases of a project for building a Bayesian network (BN) based framework to link ecological and water quality responses to features of the flow regime in the Molonglo and Yass rivers in southeastern Australia. At this stage, the objective is to conceptualize the modelling components and define causal links. Expert elicitation was used to identify important drivers and interactions which influence water quality attributes and related ecological responses.
|Title of host publication||Symposium H04: Assessment of water quality under changing climate conditions|
|Editors||Norman E Peters, Valentina Krysanova, Ahti Lepiste, Rajendra Prasad, Martin Thoms, Rob Wilby, Sarantuyaa Zandaryaa|
|Place of Publication||Melbourne|
|Number of pages||7|
|Publication status||Published - 2011|
|Event||2011 International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) General Assembly - Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia|
Duration: 28 Jun 2011 → 7 Jul 2011
|Conference||2011 International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) General Assembly|
|Period||28/06/11 → 7/07/11|
Dyer, F., El Sawah, S., Harrison, E., Broad, S., Croke, B., Norris, R., & Jakeman, A. (2011). Predicting water quality responses to a changing climate: Building an integrated modelling framework. In N. E. Peters, V. Krysanova, A. Lepiste, R. Prasad, M. Thoms, R. Wilby, & S. Zandaryaa (Eds.), Symposium H04: Assessment of water quality under changing climate conditions (Vol. 348, pp. 178-184). Melbourne: IAHS Publishing.