Self Provision in Retirement? Forecasting Future Household Wealth in Australia

Simon Kelly

    Research output: A Conference proceeding or a Chapter in BookChapter

    Abstract

    The costs associated with an ageing population in Australia are putting increasing pressure on the fiscal resources of the government. This pressure will intensify as the proportion of elderly doubles over the next few decades. Under this increasing fiscal pressure, the government will be increasingly looking to individuals to provide for themselves. This paper considers what capacity older Australians have to provide financially for themselves. It finds that if the traditional measure of wellbeing is used, incomes, then they have very little capacity to contribute to the cost of their retirement. Almost all of those currently aged 65 and over rely almost entirely on the government-funded Age Pension. Despite the modest level of the pension (indexed at one-quarter of average weekly earnings), only 17% of current retirees
    have private income that matches or exceeds the pension. Taking a broader economic view – including wealth – provides a very different perspective. Those aged 65 and over currently have an estimated 22 per cent share of total household wealth and this proportion is likely to increase to 47 per cent by 2031. By including this wealth in the evaluation of capacity to contribute to the costs of retirement, it appears there is considerable scope for self-provision
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationModelling Our Future: Population Ageing, Social Security and Taxation
    EditorsAnn Harding, Anil Gupta
    Place of PublicationAmsterdam, The Netherlands
    PublisherElsevier B.V
    Pages387-405
    Number of pages19
    ISBN (Print)9780762313433
    Publication statusPublished - 2007

    Fingerprint

    Pensions
    Household wealth
    Costs
    Retirement
    Government
    Income
    Proportion
    Wealth
    Fiscal
    Resources
    Well-being
    Aging population
    Evaluation
    Economics

    Cite this

    Kelly, S. (2007). Self Provision in Retirement? Forecasting Future Household Wealth in Australia. In A. Harding, & A. Gupta (Eds.), Modelling Our Future: Population Ageing, Social Security and Taxation (pp. 387-405). Amsterdam, The Netherlands: Elsevier B.V.
    Kelly, Simon. / Self Provision in Retirement? Forecasting Future Household Wealth in Australia. Modelling Our Future: Population Ageing, Social Security and Taxation. editor / Ann Harding ; Anil Gupta. Amsterdam, The Netherlands : Elsevier B.V, 2007. pp. 387-405
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    Kelly, S 2007, Self Provision in Retirement? Forecasting Future Household Wealth in Australia. in A Harding & A Gupta (eds), Modelling Our Future: Population Ageing, Social Security and Taxation. Elsevier B.V, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, pp. 387-405.

    Self Provision in Retirement? Forecasting Future Household Wealth in Australia. / Kelly, Simon.

    Modelling Our Future: Population Ageing, Social Security and Taxation. ed. / Ann Harding; Anil Gupta. Amsterdam, The Netherlands : Elsevier B.V, 2007. p. 387-405.

    Research output: A Conference proceeding or a Chapter in BookChapter

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    AB - The costs associated with an ageing population in Australia are putting increasing pressure on the fiscal resources of the government. This pressure will intensify as the proportion of elderly doubles over the next few decades. Under this increasing fiscal pressure, the government will be increasingly looking to individuals to provide for themselves. This paper considers what capacity older Australians have to provide financially for themselves. It finds that if the traditional measure of wellbeing is used, incomes, then they have very little capacity to contribute to the cost of their retirement. Almost all of those currently aged 65 and over rely almost entirely on the government-funded Age Pension. Despite the modest level of the pension (indexed at one-quarter of average weekly earnings), only 17% of current retireeshave private income that matches or exceeds the pension. Taking a broader economic view – including wealth – provides a very different perspective. Those aged 65 and over currently have an estimated 22 per cent share of total household wealth and this proportion is likely to increase to 47 per cent by 2031. By including this wealth in the evaluation of capacity to contribute to the costs of retirement, it appears there is considerable scope for self-provision

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    Kelly S. Self Provision in Retirement? Forecasting Future Household Wealth in Australia. In Harding A, Gupta A, editors, Modelling Our Future: Population Ageing, Social Security and Taxation. Amsterdam, The Netherlands: Elsevier B.V. 2007. p. 387-405