Simulating Future Trends in Wealth Inequality

Simon Kelly

    Research output: Contribution to conference (non-published works)Paper


    The gap between the rich and the poor and changes in the distribution of wealth is
    being publicly debated at present. This paper contributes to this debate by providing
    some historical wealth inequality measures and by taking the debate a step further
    by trying to estimate the direction in which wealth inequality will move in the

    In recent years, the National Centre for Social and Economic Modelling has
    developed a model that can simulate the accumulation of wealth over time at the
    family level. Aggregating the families provides estimates of the national distribution
    of wealth, both now and in the future.

    This paper uses the outcomes of the simulation to project future trends in wealth
    inequality. The results are heavily influenced by the underlying assumptions but
    provide some very valuable insights into whether wealth inequality will increase or
    decrease in the future.
    Original languageEnglish
    Number of pages23
    Publication statusPublished - 2002
    EventAustralian Conference of Economists - Adelaide, Australia
    Duration: 30 Sep 20023 Oct 2002


    ConferenceAustralian Conference of Economists


    Cite this

    Kelly, S. (2002). Simulating Future Trends in Wealth Inequality. Paper presented at Australian Conference of Economists, Adelaide, Australia.