Spatial analysis of housing stress estimation in Australia with statistical validation

Azizur Rahman, Ann HARDING

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Abstract

A large number of Australian households are experiencing housing stress. Decision makers at the national and regional levels need reliable small area statistics on housing stress, to most efficiently and fairly target assistance and policy design. This paper studies small area housing stress estimation in Australia and examines various distributive scenarios of the estimates through spatial analysis of a synthetically microsimulated data. Results reveal that one in every nine households in Australia is experiencing housing stress, with private renter households being most greatly affected. About two-thirds of Australian households with housing stress reside in the eight major capital cities, principally in Sydney and Melbourne. The statistical local area level estimates of housing stress are much lower in Canberra, compared to the other major cities. Scenarios of the spatial analysis identify small area level hotspots for housing stress across Australia. A new approach for validating the results of microsimulated data produced by the microsimulation modelling technology reveals statistically accurate housing stress estimation for about 94.3 percent of small areas.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)452-486
Number of pages35
JournalAustralasian Journal of Regional Studies
Volume20
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - 2014

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spatial analysis
housing
renter
scenario
Spatial analysis
capital city
decision maker
assistance
statistics
Household
modeling
household

Cite this

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title = "Spatial analysis of housing stress estimation in Australia with statistical validation",
abstract = "A large number of Australian households are experiencing housing stress. Decision makers at the national and regional levels need reliable small area statistics on housing stress, to most efficiently and fairly target assistance and policy design. This paper studies small area housing stress estimation in Australia and examines various distributive scenarios of the estimates through spatial analysis of a synthetically microsimulated data. Results reveal that one in every nine households in Australia is experiencing housing stress, with private renter households being most greatly affected. About two-thirds of Australian households with housing stress reside in the eight major capital cities, principally in Sydney and Melbourne. The statistical local area level estimates of housing stress are much lower in Canberra, compared to the other major cities. Scenarios of the spatial analysis identify small area level hotspots for housing stress across Australia. A new approach for validating the results of microsimulated data produced by the microsimulation modelling technology reveals statistically accurate housing stress estimation for about 94.3 percent of small areas.",
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Spatial analysis of housing stress estimation in Australia with statistical validation. / Rahman, Azizur; HARDING, Ann.

In: Australasian Journal of Regional Studies, Vol. 20, No. 3, 2014, p. 452-486.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

TY - JOUR

T1 - Spatial analysis of housing stress estimation in Australia with statistical validation

AU - Rahman, Azizur

AU - HARDING, Ann

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