Time-dependent reliability of corroded mild steel pipes by different failure modes

This study aims to analytically assess the time-dependent failure of corrosion-induced mild steel pipes by employing two fracture failure criteria: the fracture toughness-based criterion and the stress-based criterion. The investigation intends to identify the influential factors that impinge upon the assessment of failure probability within this context. It is found that there is a linear relationship between the ratio of wall thickness to inner radius and the probability of failure and that between the internal pressure and the probability of failure. Notably, the influence on the evaluation of failure probability by the ratio of wall thickness to inner radius is more prominent than the internal pressure. It is also found that a comprehensive criterion is necessary for evaluating the fracture resistance of corroded mild steel pipes, which considers both initial fracture toughness and ultimate stress. These findings can provide theoretical evidence for pipe engineers to develop maintenance or repair strategies in mild steel pipes. The significance of this paper is the development of an analytical framework for predicting the probability of failure of corroded mild steel pipes, considering the complexities of elastic-plastic fracture mechanics.