Performance in elite swimming is multifactorial and is influenced by training load,
anthropometry, technique and physiology among other factors. Quantifying and
mathematically modelling the relationships between these variables and their impact on
performance, talent identification and training individualisation is a key role of swimming
researchers in assisting coaches and athletes. To model these relationships effectively one must
first accurately measure each of these variables. While the majority of these variables have well
established field and laboratory measurement protocols, there is one major exception in
swimming physiology research - the anaerobic energy system. The anaerobic energy system
plays an important role in elite swimming performance given that 27 of 35 Olympic events
derive 25-73% of their energy from anaerobic sources. As such it is vitally important for
coaches to have a standardised test which assesses metrics related to both the aerobic and
anaerobic systems and can be used to evaluate the impact of training. This thesis examines a
practical issue in elite swimming; the lack of a simple standardised test to provide useful
information which on performance metrics related to both the aerobic and anaerobic energy
systems. A pool-based methodology based on the 3-minute test in cycling was proposed and
assessed for reliability and validity. The newly proposed methodology for a 3-minute
swimming test (12x25m) was then examined using a within-swimmer model to assess changes
over a season, cross-sectionally between-swimmers, and correlated with competition
performances. This methodology may provide coaches with a practical means for monitoring
or assessing aspects of both the aerobic and anaerobic energy system which relate to
performance using only a stopwatch and a spreadsheet.
Initially the impact of training load on performance is examined within this thesis. The
relationship between training load and performance is widely regarded as a dose-response
relationship. However, there are a number of methodological procedures which have not been
scientifically interrogated beyond their initial proposal and proof of concept investigations. To
assess both the method of quantification, and the method of modelling, the training load-performance
relationship competition performances over 50 and 100 m efforts were matched
to training load over >600 days for three elite swimmers. Two different methods of training
quantification (5- and 7-zone methods) and three different methods of modelling the load-performance
relationship, the Banister, Busso and rolling averages models, were assessed. The rolling averages approach, as it is much simpler mathematically, was deemed preferable if it
could provide a similar level of accuracy when compared with the two alternatives which are
considered industry standards. Both five- (mean r-value, 90% CI; 0.65, 0.28 – 1.00) and seven-zone
(0.62, 0.24 – 1.00) training load methods correlated similarly with performance. When
comparing modelling methodologies the rolling average method was less accurate (standard
error range 1.32-1.36 s) than either the Banister model (standard error range 0.62-0.64 s) or the
Busso model (standard error range 0.70-0.73 s). This investigation highlighted that coaches use
50 m performance to nominally assess the anaerobic system, demonstrating the need for a
practical anaerobic test for swimmers. The critical speed (CS) and supra-CS distance capacity
(D') framework was identified as an option that includes the more anaerobic aspects of
performance.
A time-trial based CS-D' test was assessed together with other variables including
anthropometry, lower limb power and maturity which could modulate the relationship between
this test and competition performance. Across 48 national age group swimmers (males 16.5 ±
1.2 y, females 15.5 ± 1.1 y; mean ± SD) the results of the CS-D' test correlated highly with
performance. When combined with anthropometric measures, lower limb power and maturity
measurements CS and D' explained 93% and 82% of the variation in performance for male and
female 100 m swimmers respectively. When assessing 200 m performance these measures
explained 84% (males) and 44% (females) of the variance. The CS-D' test appears useful,
however the multi-day nature of the time-trial methodology was deemed too arduous for wide
adoption by coaches.
A new methodology was formulated based on the cycling three-minute test. This protocol
consisted of twelve 25 m efforts at maximal unpaced effort, with five seconds rest (12x25m
test). Metrics calculated from this protocol were peak speed, CS, D' and drop off %. To assess
reliability this test was performed by 14 national and international-level swimmers. Test re-test
reliability was assessed for all metrics and CS and D' values were compared to the values
derived using the time-trial method for 23 swimmers to evaluate the degree of criterion validity.
These variables were deemed reliable, all ICC values were >0.97 and coefficient of variation
values were: CS 1.2%, D' 5.7%, peak speed 0.5% and drop off % 4.5%. This protocol also
compared favourably to the time-trial method and produced estimates of CS which correlated
very well (r = 0.96, p<0.05) with the time-trial method. Estimates of D' also correlated strongly
(r = 0.79, p<0.05) between methods, although correlations were not strong enough to conclude the time trial and new protocol values are fully interchangeable. While reliability values are
important, their relative size to the magnitude of their target signal has more bearing on whether
they can be deemed sensitive enough to be useful or not. To assess this relationship Guyatt’s
responsiveness index was calculated using data collected throughout multiple competitive
seasons for a group of 27 national and international-level swimmers. For each of the four
metrics the mean test to test difference was analysed and made relative to the standard deviation
of the test-retest differences of a ‘stable’ population; in this case seven of the fourteen swimmer
population used to calculate typical error values. The responsiveness index, which can be
interpreted as a modified effect size, were computed as follows: CS 1.4, D' 2.2, peak speed 2.7
and drop off % 1.6. All these are large effects and indicate that the magnitude of mean changes
between testing sessions compare favourably to test-retest reliability values. While the 12x25m
test appears responsive enough within an athlete, it is also important to ascertain whether it can
distinguish between athletes, and also whether a swimmer with faster or larger measures will
swim faster in a competition environment. Metrics from the 12x25m test were compared to
competition performance in a group of 34 national and international-level swimmers. When
stroke and sex were taken as covariates, critical speed correlated well with 50 m (r = -0.54),
100 m (r = -0.57) and 200 m (r = -0.78) performances. Similarly, peak speed exhibited moderate
to high relationships with performance especially in the shorter events (50m r = -0.75; 100m r
= -0.79; 200m r = -0.59). Values for D' had a significant parabolic relationship with 50m (r =
0.61) and 100m (r = 0.57), but not 200 m (r = 0.32) performances.
The 12x25m is likely a practical option to estimate anaerobic capacity in highly trained
swimmers. The metrics calculated using the 12x25m test are reliable and have adequate
criterion validity. These metrics are also responsive to changes within athletes and show a
similar ability to distinguish between performances across swimmers as other analogous
variables calculated using alternative methods. The 12x25m test is a standardised assessment
of a swimmer’s ability to swim at high intensities and can be completed with minimal
technological support.
Date of Award | 2019 |
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Original language | English |
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Supervisor | Ben RATTRAY (Supervisor) & Philo Saunders (Supervisor) |
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Anaerobic assessment and training monitoring in elite swimmers
Mitchell, L. (Author). 2019
Student thesis: Doctoral Thesis